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Sunday, Mar 09, 2025

Germany's Political Landscape Shifts Amid Coalition Negotiations

Germany's Political Landscape Shifts Amid Coalition Negotiations

As exploratory talks continue, key leaders discuss debt reforms and defense spending with a focus on Ukraine policy.
On March 5, 2025, exploratory coalition negotiations between Germany's conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU), its Bavarian sister party Christian Social Union (CSU), and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) are ongoing as they seek to form a new government.

The CDU emerged from Germany's snap election on February 23 with a plurality, securing 28.5% of the votes.

The SPD, led by outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, finished third with a historic low of 16.4%.

In a bid to bolster defense capabilities, the CDU and SPD have agreed to propose a €500 billion fund dedicated to infrastructure repair over the next decade.

Friedrich Merz, the CDU leader and likely future chancellor, has emphasized the necessity for Germany to reassess its defense policies in light of evolving global threats, particularly regarding the situation in Ukraine.

Katharina Dröge, parliamentary co-leader of the Green Party, stated that their backing for the debt reforms proposed by the CDU/CSU and SPD hinges on extensive negotiations.

The proposed reforms within the coalition aim to loosen Germany's constitutional 'debt brake,' a policy inaugurated in 2009 that restricts new borrowing to 0.35% of GDP. The Bundesbank has suggested an increase to 1.4% to allow for enhanced defense and infrastructure financing, contingent upon the government's debt-to-GDP ratio remaining below 60%.

Scholz and Merz are set to meet to discuss Germany's approach to Ukraine amidst shifting US policy dynamics.

Key points of discussion will include the implications of the recent international crisis meeting on Ukraine and upcoming EU deliberations on European defense strategies.

On the other hand, outgoing Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock announced her intention to withdraw from leadership roles within the Green Party, citing personal reasons.

She will continue in her ministerial position until a new government is formed.

Negotiations between the CDU, CSU, and SPD also follow a climate of unusual collegiality as some legislators opted out of traditional Ash Wednesday events, hitherto characterized by pointed political jibes.

Health Minister Karl Lauterbach spoke positively about cooperation with the CDU, underscoring the importance of forward-looking dialogue absent from past rivalries.

The ongoing coalition talks reflect a critical juncture for German politics, with the potential formation of a government anticipated by Easter, which falls in late April 2025. These discussions signify important decisions regarding fiscal policies and national security, amid an increasingly complex international landscape.
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