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Thursday, Jan 09, 2025

Rising Office Vacancies in Germany Reflect Economic Uncertainty

As remote work continues and economic pressures mount, the demand for office space wanes in major German cities.
The landscape of office real estate in Germany is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by enduring shifts in work culture and the ongoing economic uncertainties confronting businesses.

According to a comprehensive analysis by real estate specialist Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), the trend of increasing office vacancies shows no sign of abating in Germany's largest urban centers, even as some firms attempt to bring employees back to traditional workplaces.

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, remote work has become a staple for many companies across Germany.

This paradigm shift has left many office spaces unoccupied, a trend that has persisted and expanded, highlighted by the latest figures from JLL.

The study examines the office leasing markets in seven key German metropolitan areas: Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Frankfurt, Düsseldorf, Cologne, and Stuttgart.

Although there have been slight recoveries in these markets throughout 2024, with a total of 2.7 million square meters of office space leased, this represents a significant 30% decrease compared to the average leasing activity over the past decade.

Subsequently, vacancy rates have increased notably, with 6.7 million square meters currently available, amounting to a vacancy rate of 6.8%, up from 5.8% at the end of 2023.

Firms are increasingly selective about the spaces they choose, focusing on modernity and sustainability.

Older, unrenovated properties are consequently languishing without tenants.

This trend coincides with a broader economic malaise.

Businesses remain cautious, influenced heavily by geopolitical and economic uncertainties, as highlighted by JLL expert Konstantin Kortmann.

The propensity for large-scale, long-term commitments, such as relocations or expansions, has declined, with few exceptions generally restricted to public sector leases for spaces exceeding 10,000 square meters.

The preference for smaller but high-quality spaces persists.

Despite efforts by major corporations like Deutsche Bank and SAP to encourage more in-office time, home office practices remain deeply embedded.

Moreover, firms are downsizing their footprints in response to prolonged remote work policies.

A study previously conducted by the Ifo Institute and Colliers estimated a potential reduction exceeding 10% in office space demand in these metropolitan regions by 2030.

The continued evolution of work norms and the complex economic backdrop are reshaping the German office market, prompting companies and landlords alike to adapt to a still-uncertain future.
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